Automotive sector innovation could create a million new jobs by 2030 and revitalize growth - report
Wed 26 June 2013
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A study by Ricardo-AEA and Cambridge Econometrics says that Europe could improve its growth prospects and create 0.5 to 1.1 million net additional jobs in 2030 through automotive sector innovation. Increased technology to cut fuel consumption would also allow the EU to reduce its dependence on foreign oil and deliver between €58 and €83 billion a year in fuel savings for the EU economy by 2030. This shift will achieve the double bonus of mitigating climate change and creating a much-needed economic stimulus.
These are the main conclusions of a new report - Fuelling Europe’s Future: How auto innovation leads to EU jobs - published by a consortium of transport sector stakeholders.
The key findings of the report are:
• Jobs are created by increased spending on vehicle technology, but more importantly by a shift in spending away from imported fossil fuels and back towards other areas of the European economy.
• In scenarios in which the Internal Combustion Engine is either optimized or hybridized, the yearly cost of running and replacing the EU car and van fleet is reduced by €36 billion and EU-wide employment increases by 500,000 to 660,000 in 2030. This takes account of jobs lost in the transition, such as in refining.
• In scenarios in which Europe moves rapidly to a fleet of advanced hybrid, battery-electric and fuel-cell vehicles, EU-wide employment increases by 850,000 to 1.1 million in 2030. By 2050, jobs increase by 1.9 million to 2.3 million in all low-carbon scenarios examined.
• The fuel bill for Europe’s car and van fleet is reduced by €58 – 83 billion in 2030 by a shift to low-carbon vehicles, and by €115 – 180 billion in 2050. (excluding taxes and duties)
• While jobs are created and spending on oil imports is reduced in all low-carbon scenarios, CO2 is also cut by between 64 per cent and 97 per cent in 2050. Air quality is significantly improved, with emissions of health-damaging particulates down by 73 – 95 per cent by 2050.
• Demand is reduced for a small fraction of auto sector professions, and some skill shortages also emerge during the transition. The pace of change is likely to allow time for the development of the relevant new skills in Europe, if industry, governments and academic institutions start planning now.
The transport sector stakeholders involved in the report's publication included: CLEPA - the European Association of Automotive Suppliers;
Eurelectric; Eurobat; European Aluminium Association (EAA); IndustriAll Europe; Nissan; SSE, T&E and ZERO.
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